How have the stocks mentioned here fared this year? (Update Feb 12th, 2018, some remaining holds further down) & SVWPA sold on August 23rd.

I just placed this blog post via editing an older update. I didn’t necessarily want this going out to subscribers as an email as I don’t want to imply I am getting certain precise investment returns (some will see these as poor, others good).

For example they are only a portion of my ideas, this assumes equal weightings, what new position replaces a previous one? I may have made errors, the list goes on! I figure it’s better than nothing though and without some type of reflecting back on performance, the blog can become dull.

The purpose is to make sure I follow up any stocks I mentioned I was holding. There are enough investors out there on the internet only talking about the winners and forgetting about the losers. Hopefully this section prevents that.

Since the average holding period for a stock mentioned on this blog is getting far closer to a year now, I thought I would provide an update.

The average return on each stock as I write was very close to positive 20%, and I mentioned 63 stocks as holds at one point or another. I haven’t of course reflected the cash I hold, which I have often stated is quite significant. Offsetting that to some extent is that thus far the average hold period is only about ten months.

I believe since the start of 2016 when I began blogging, the ASX200 Accumulation has probably delivered about 9% per annum as I update this today. The S&P500 total return perhaps more like 15% per annum.

Here is the table and apologies it doesn’t look professional. I never anticipated I would keep blogging this long so that is my excuse! As you will read further down I will make a more streamlined effort to do a bit of tracking in the future that I can keep up with.

Column1 Column2 Column3 Column4 Column5 Column6
Column1 Column2 Column3 Column4 Column5 Column6
BUY PRICE P @FEB 12 2018 % date bought
OR PRICE WHEN OR SOLD LEVEL CHANGE / mentioned date if sold
STATED HELD
ogc (sold) 2.9 3.88 34% 13/02/2016 30/09/2016
nst (sold) 2.64 3.92 48% 20/01/2016 6/10/2016
rms (sold) 0.23 0.41 78% 20/01/2016 13/11/2016
cef:us (sold) 11.71 13.1 12% 14/04/2016 10/10/17
gdxj:us (sold) 20 37 85% 20/01/2016 13/11/2016
rny (sold avg) 0.26 0.15 -42% 20/01/2016 14/07/2016
evn (sold) 1.97 2.77 41% 13/02/2016 4/07/2016
ssm (sold avg) 0.52 1.103333333 112% 20/01/2016 5/07/2017
ptb (sold inc div) 0.38 0.65 71% 20/01/2016 6/12/2016
acl (sold inc c ret) 0.095 0.104 9% 20/01/2016 29/04/2016
kbc (sold avg) 0.17 0.1575 -7% 20/01/2016 7/09/2016
uos (inc divs) 0.5 0.71 42% 20/01/2016
nuf (sold) 7.61 8.33 9% 10/01/2016 5/09/2016
gnc (sold) 7.77 7.46 -4% 27/01/2016 2/03/2016
aac (sold) 1.29 1.8 40% 27/01/2016 24/06/2016
gjt (wound up) 1.96 2.777 42% 27/01/2016 31/10/2016
aik (sold avg) 0.105 0.135 29% 29/03/2016 18/11/2017
hhy (sold) 0.104 0.11 6% 20/01/2016 20/07/2016
3918:hk (sold inc divs) 3.88 6.35 64% 13/02/2016 11/12/2017
nge (adj consol) 0.38 0.39 3% 13/02/2016 14/02/2017
aiq (inc cap ret) 0.105 0.102 -3% 2/03/2016
vnl:ln (sold part) 0.61 0.9525 56% 2/03/2016
clt takeover 0.2 0.2857 43% 11/03/2016 16/12/2016
wpl (sold) 26.78 27.25 2% 25/03/2016 20/07/2016
yoma:sp 0.54 0.515 -5% 25/03/2016 16/11/2016
facebook (short) 119 111 -7% 14/04/2016 29/04/2016
upg (takeover) 1.05 1.27 21% 14/04/2016 19/07/2016
mel (ex c ret) 0.054 0.073 35% 20/01/2016 1/12/2016
wmk (sold) 1.03 1 -3% 20/01/2016 11/03/2016
apw ( inc divs) 1.2 1.759 47% 2/03/2016
kar (sold avg ) 1.45 1.51 4% 29/04/2016 16/05/2017
nam (sold) 0.3 0.44 47% 20/01/2016 1/09/2017
snc (sold inc div) 0.835 1.07 28% 2/08/2016 14/02/2017
eld (sold) 4.85 3.56 -27% 20/01/2016 5/09/2016
hhv (sold avg) 1.22 1.3725 13% 16/05/2016 21/07/2016
gvf (sold) 1 1.055 5% 20/01/2016 14/07/2016
agf (sold) 0.83 0.895 8% 30/05/2016 6/07/2016
mvt (sold avg) 0.14 0.1625 16% 24/06/2016 14/02/2017
cyb (sold) 4.26 4.72 11% 30/06/2016 12/09/2016
ref (inc divs) 0.12 0.096 -20% 22/07/2016
top (sold) 0.595 0.705 18% 2/08/2016 17/10/2016
wcb (sold) 6.86 9.01 31% 14/07/2016 14/02/2017
ags (sold) 0.096 0.086 -10% 1/09/2016 1/09/2017
ncc (sold) 1.18 1.385 17% 2/09/2016 17/10/2016
agf (wind up) 0.955 1.0195 7% 9/09/2016
gold 166.1 159.53 -4% 9/09/2016
cya (sold inc divs) 0.825 0.982 19% 23/09/2016 29/05/2017
tgg (inc div) 1.17 1.455 24% 19/11/2016
CEE:US (inc div) 20.55 26.14 27% 16/12/2016
ilu(inc divs) 6.52 9.62 48% 6/12/2016
tts (sold inc divs) 4.42 4.595 4% 16/12/2016 22/11/2017
SVWPA (inc divs) 71.66 88.18 23% 16/12/2016
aja (takeover) 6.7 7.42 11% 3/05/2017 1/09/2017
wmi (sold) 1.1 1.22 11% 9/06/2017 1/09/2017
pai (inc div) 1 1.265 27% 9/06/2017
SNP500 (SHORT) 2433 2650 -8.19% 9/06/2017 18/11/2017
mah 0.155 0.23 48% 7/03/2017
eai 0.93 1.11 19% 17/08/2017
jyc (inc div) 1.7 1.64 -4% 3/05/2017
ali 1.84 1.69 -8% 14/11/2017
fgx 1.145 1.15 0% 11/12/2017
alf 1.045 1.01 -3% 14/11/2017
fgg (inc div) 1.095 1.18 8% 17/08/2017
Average return of stock 19.8% Average months held

Another reason I updated this today is I noticed a relatively diverse 13 or so remaining positions. For a bit of fun and simplicity I figured I would track the remaining 13 in share sights. To make it easier I have ceased tracking some holdings offshore or that will be wound up. For example VNL:LN (almost competed wind up), AIQ (likely I tender in buyback), AGF (almost completed wind up). Some commodity flavoured positions like CEE:US, MAH & ILU I am likely exiting on trailing stops and wont track going forward. I am endeavouring to capture a steadier, income focused, passive approach with this experiment.

The ASX200 is about 5,820 & the S&P500 about 2,620 just for a bit of future reference. I will incorporate a notional cash position of about 13% in this share sights portfolio. I wanted to conduct a bit of an experiment how this can go relatively untouched. A bit like the “all weather” portfolio concept. At a glance the remaining holdings appeared fairly well diversified and most should produce some steady income. Perhaps this only needs to be rebalanced once a year. Here it is below. Although I own the stocks at the time of this Feb 12, 2018 update they are less than half the number of stocks I own. The share sights positions are just a fictional portfolio of holdings made for a fun experiment. Please read this disclaimer first.

Disclaimer:

Please do not go out and copy the portfolio. I may trade out of the stocks mentioned at any time and not make that clear on this blog. My circumstances and financial goals are likely very different to that of readers. Please seek the relevant personal financial advice from the appropriate qualified professionals before making decisions on your portfolio. I am not licensed as a financial advisor.

The share sights experiment as at Feb 12, 2018. Plugged in $20 brokerage and assumed the closing prices to begin things.

sharesights

BRIEF UPDATE AUGUST 23RD, 2018.

SVWPA have had an announcement that essentially requires I make a choice of converting to SVW shares, or partially doing this and selling into a buyback, or selling the SVWPAs on market. If I did nothing I would mostly likely be automatically converted to SVW equity. I don’t have any great worries about that stock but I held SVWPAs more for safer income, and the “special situation” potential like we have seen here as icing on the cake. I just made this little update as otherwise it is confusing what I have left in this portfolio I was tracking.

I have personally sold  SVWPAs on market today at $95.48 so I have also reflected a similar trade via this sharesights hypothetical portfolio today.

The other forced decision that was required was whether to invest in the SPP for FGG. Given the SVWPAs raised cash and we have seen a large cash inflow with a special dividend for REF, it makes sense for me to also reflect a SPP buy in FGG of a further 1,194 shares.

 

BELOW WAS THE OLD POST FROM OCTOBER, 2016.

As mentioned here last blog post, here is a snapshot of how the stocks I have mentioned this year have gone. Also as discussed in the last blog post, I can’t guarantee I can keep this tracking up as it is a little onerous. I imagine though I will be posting less of my actual trades going forward, so that may assist in at least loosely tracking how stocks discussed have fared. I want to achieve a balance of not coming across as a stock tipster and promoter to follow directly, but at the same make many of my investment thoughts accountable as to their progress. If I never occasionally look back at some of the performance, the blog may lack a bit of purpose.

I want to clearly state this gives an overly flattering look at things, bearing in mind for most of the year I have often advocated holding more than 30% in cash. There have been times that to get to that notional 30% cash equivalents I have lost money shorting equities indices that are not captured below, likewise some leakage on losing on some short-term trades achieving my desired currency targets. We also must remember any fund manager in Australia that typically searched beyond the large caps I believe should have done quite well. If you have money in a small cap fund that hasn’t achieved solid performance this year you should ask some questions about that. On the flipside though it is probably worth noting that many of the returns I state here have been achieved in well under a year. Unfortunately, I feel 2017 will be far more difficult to generate as many money-making ideas, that in part is another reason for me not wanting to disclose as many of my actual trades going forward.

I have tried to avoid mistakes in compiling this but it was time consuming. I hope people can point out any areas you may think on the table if I am being too generous with the returns and I can adjust accordingly if needed. Please excuse the poor formatting of the table below.

Hopefully most consider the ideas throughout the year were fairly well diversified and low risk, particularly combined with the higher cash levels I ran and some exposure to the gold sector and some REITS. Here is my final attempt it tracking some of this stuff. Please note I may or may not hold these stocks going forward and I will not necessarily document trades in these on the blog in the future.

Whilst I am quite happy with these results, the next topic I want to write about will not be as flattering to document! I want to review the situations I got wrong, and try and learn from them. After all, that was the goal of the blog. There will be quite a few!

BUY PRICE PRICE AT OCT 28 % date bought appx
OR PRICE WHEN OR SOLD LEVEL CHANGE or mentioned date if sold months
STATED HELD held
ogc (sold) 2.9 3.88 34% feb 13 Sep 30 9
nst (sold) 2.64 3.92 48% Jan 20 Oct 6 9
rms 0.23 0.475 107% Jan 20 10
cef:us 11.71 13.3 14% April 14 7
gdxj:us 20 39.61 98% Jan 20 10
rny (sold avg 18 & 12 used) 0.26 0.15 -42% Jan 20 July 14 6
evn (sold) 1.97 2.77 41% feb 13 July 4 5
ssm (half sold 79, using average) 0.52 0.9775 88% jan 20 10
ptb (inc 5 c div) 0.38 0.51 34% Jan 20 10
acl (inc cap return) (sold) 0.095 0.104 9% Jan 20 April 29 4
kbc (sold 17.5 & 14 used) 0.17 0.1575 -7% Jan 20 Sep 7 8
uos (inc 3 cents worth divs) 0.5 0.595 19% Jan 20 10
nuf (sold) 7.61 8.33 9% Jan 20 Sep 5 8
gnc (sold) 7.77 7.46 -4% Jan 27 Mar 2 2
aac (sold) 1.29 1.8 40% Jan 27 June 24 5
gjt (wound up)(inc 8.7 cents div) 1.96 2.777 42% Jan 27 10
aik (not counting rights at 11 cents) 0.105 0.14 33% Mar 29 8
hhy (sold) 0.104 0.11 6% Jan 20 July 20 6
naga 3918:hk (inc 27c worth divs) 3.88 5.105 32% feb 13 9
nge 0.019 0.019 0% feb 13 9
aiq (inc 1.5 cents capital return) 0.105 0.11 5% Mar 2 8
vnl:ln (have inc 8c June cap return) 0.61 0.77 26% Mar 2 8
clt (inc 1.25 cent div) 0.2 0.2725 36% Mar 11 8
wpl (sold) 26.78 27.25 2% Mar 25 July 20 4
yoma:sp 0.54 0.59 9% Mar 25 8
facebook (short) (closed) 119 111 -7% April 14 April 29 1
upg (takeover, inc 80 c cap ret) 1.05 1.27 21% April 14 7
mel 0.054 0.064 19% Jan 20 10
wmk (sold) 1.03 1 -3% Jan 20 Mar 11 2
apw (adjusted for split) 1.2 1.32 10% Mar 2 8
kar 1.45 2.31 59% April 29 7
nam 0.3 0.405 35% Jan 20 10
snc (inc 3 c div) 0.835 0.93 11% Aug 2 3
eld (sold) 4.85 3.56 -27% Jan 20 Sep 5 8
hhv (sold using 1.345 & 1.4) 1.22 1.3725 13% May 16 July 21 3
gvf (sold) 1 1.055 5% Jan 20 July 14 6
agf (sold) 0.83 0.895 8% May 30 July 6 2
mvt (half sell 0.16, using average) 0.14 0.1625 16% June 24 Oct 17 5
cyb (sold) 4.26 4.72 11% June 30 Sep 12 3
ref (inc 1 cent div) 0.12 0.12 0% July 22 4
top (sold) 0.595 0.705 18% Aug 2 Oct 17 3
wcb 6.86 6.52 -5% July 14 4
ags 0.044 0.043 -2% Sep 1 2
ncc (sold) 1.18 1.385 17% Sep 2 Oct 17 2
agf (second time inc 55 cent dist) 0.955 0.99 4% Sep 9 2
gold 166.1 159.1 -4% Sep 9 2
cya 0.825 0.86 4% Sep 23 2
Average return of stock 18.8% Average months held 6.1
PLEASE NOTE I MAY OR MAY NOT HOLD THESE AFTER THIS POST,
AND WILL NOT NECESSARILY POST IF I TRADE IN THESE GOING FORWARD.

 

 

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2 thoughts on “How have the stocks mentioned here fared this year? (Update Feb 12th, 2018, some remaining holds further down) & SVWPA sold on August 23rd.”

  1. Hey Steve, you should try http://www.sharesight.com to track your performance! Much easier than spreadsheets.

    On Fri, Oct 28, 2016 at 5:01 PM, Investing for a living. wrote:

    > Steve Green posted: “As mentioned here last blog post, here is a snapshot > of how the stocks I have mentioned this year have gone. Also as discussed > in the last blog post, it will be the last time I put something detailed > like this together as it is a little onerous. I want t” >

    1. Yes I do use sharesight actually and recommend it. Yet my SMSF I don’t bother plugging it into sharesight as it gets audited and easy to view how I am performing there. Also my international stocks don’t use sharesight so I’m not fully integrated I guess.

      It is certainly doable to keep tracking on the blog but I just wanted to take a break from promising to do it going forward.

      By the way that reminds me I might email you soon, I’ll see if something I was writing suits your site.

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